

The billionaires are spending mad money to fight this tax.
Mad for regular people money. From what I’ve read, what they’ve spent is a small fraction of what said tax would cost them (though if you’ve seen different, I love new info!)
A person is easy to move, a warehouse less so.
These folks don’t usually have warehouses, but whatever, say physical infrastructure. All that can stay, the boss can roll out, rock in Texas and take their private jet to and fro as needed. (Or, do their stuff remotely. I doubt Thiel is walking through cubicles etc.)
The worst case scenario for California of the mythical “Wealth Flight” is a bunch of parasites moving elsewhere.
The worst case is that the tax revenue that those billionaires bring (which sure, in a moral vacuum should probably be higher) goes elsewhere leaving California needing to plug the fiscal gap by taxing less wealthy folks or eliminating/reducing services.


Estimates seem to vary but I’ve found a good few at 3 billion total from the wealthiest 200 Californians.
Also, given the article noted that:
That implies the current tax revenue from billionaires would drop 60 or so percent. So, presumably tax revenue drops from 3 to 1.2 billion, just based on current flights (and ignoring knock on effects.)
So, no one else leaves and we don’t count knock on effects, I’d guess it’d take ~ 21 or so years before this starts cutting. But, of course, knock on effects (folks decamp to say, Texas which seems to be snagging as many once Californian businesses as possible…) It’s going to be a very interesting, depressing experiment. (Really feels like a race to the bottom but that’s the America we know and,uhhh, love?)