“I’ve been saving for months to get the Corsair Dominator 64GB CL30 kit,” one beleagured PC builder wrote on Reddit. “It was about $280 when I looked,” said u/RaidriarT, “Fast forward today on PCPartPicker, they want $547 for the same kit? A nearly 100% increase in a couple months?”

  • tal@lemmy.today
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    1 month ago

    https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/storage/perfect-storm-of-demand-and-supply-driving-up-storage-costs

    OpenAI’s “Stargate” project has recently signed an agreement with Samsung and SK hynix for up to 900,000 wafers of DRAM per month. That figure alone would account for close to 40% of global DRAM output.

    High-density NAND products are effectively sold out months in advance. Samsung’s next-generation V9 NAND is already nearly booked before it’s even launched. Micron has presold almost all of its High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) output through 2026. Contracts that once covered a quarter now span years, with hyperscalers buying directly at the source.

    If China’s going to compete on AI, it’s going to be doing so with a limited supply of memory, I expect.

    • WhatAmLemmy@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      They’re going all in on domestic chip manufacturing, and they are catching up much faster than armchair generals, and even actual generals, predicted.

  • Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    1 month ago

    Doesn’t Windows 11 in practice require even more memory than Windows 10 to operate with decent performance?

    Meanwhile my Linux gaming PC seems to actually use less memory than back when it was a Windows machine.

    • surph_ninja@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Constant surveillance will do that. Legit “telemetry” wouldn’t be using that much processing power.

      I’m thinking Recall is just Microsoft trying to cut costs on their servers processing all the surveillance, and force users to pay the costs of all the extra electricity and equipment needed.

    • LiveLM@lemmy.zip
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      1 month ago

      Remember that shitcoin that made HDD prices shoot up like crazy just because?
      Now we just need a new nonsensical fad to drive Cases, Motherboards, CPUs and PSUs up and we’ll have come full circle

  • Bongles@lemmy.zip
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    1 month ago

    This seems like an appropriate place for me to bitch:

    2 months ago I bought a new pre-built pc. It should’ve had 64gb of ram but had 32gb. They said the sticks they used were out of stock so they gave me a credit for $100 USD. I spent the 100 on 32gb more of what I thought was the exact same ram. I fucked up and bought a slightly higher speed so they wouldn’t work together after I tried for an afternoon. I also checked the correct listing i should’ve bought but it was more expensive, at about $125.

    I gave up and decided I’d just buy the faster ram again when it came back, rather than return it and get the correct one. It went out of stock in the time it took me to get my order so I figured I’d just wait.

    2 MONTHS later, it never came back in stock but an almost identical pair, with slightly different timing, is in stock right now at $216. If i had any idea this was coming in just 2 months, I could’ve just bought 64gb at once and started fresh, or corrected my mistake by returning what I bought.

    So i guess I’ll continue waiting, but hey at least notepad has copilot in it.

    • timhayes1991@lemmy.zip
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      1 month ago

      I always thought ram of different speeds worked together, they just were run at the speed of the slowest stick.

    • SailorFuzz@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      I just don’t see the value of having 64gb of RAM. Not for the conventional user, not for gamers, not for the average power user either. Maybe there’s a need if you’re doing a lot of video editing and large file manipulation… but like… I would argue that MOST people, unless they’re trying to play AAA games while streaming and gooning don’t need more than 16gb

      I have 32gb and I’ve never topped it out. And yea, Windows eats a lot (I really need to give up the ghost and migrate to Linux) but even still, 32gb, and I don’t even get close. 64gb is just going to be a lot of unused space. Bigger number doesn’t mean better. I doubt you’d even notice unless you fall into the previously mentioned category of users.

      • Bongles@lemmy.zip
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        1 month ago

        At this point, I originally paid for 64 so I’m trying to get there out of principal, and I’d be there if I paid more attention.

        I like to dick around with my nerd stuff and I did have the pc lock up because I used all of the 32gb ram, but I suspect 64 would’ve had the same issue in that particular instance.

        In either case, my last pc buy was a decade ago, where 16GB was more than you’d need. If prices are reasonable again, getting myself to 64GB would just make sure I’m set for another decade, probably.

      • snugglesthefalse@sh.itjust.works
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        1 month ago

        I’ve capped out 32 and still do fairly regularly. But I used to do a bunch of 3D and rendering. Now I do photo editing and just have other stuff open. 64 would help a bit for me but I can live.

    • Credibly_Human@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      The thing is, the “people” propping it up, are massive tech companies with collectively trillions of dollars to burn on this thing that is making their stock prices soar.

      They have no incentive as the primary investors doing the circular buying to stop. The big problem here is the stock market provides awful incentives to everyone.

        • Credibly_Human@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          This bubble is largely self dependent with all invested parties incentivised to prop it up. Completely different type of situation.

            • Credibly_Human@lemmy.world
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              1 month ago

              No. The housing crash really started to go off when regular people could not pay their bills. These arent regular folks here. These are mega corporations.

                • Credibly_Human@lemmy.world
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                  1 month ago

                  Are you like… just not reading the parts where I explain how these are massively different situations?

                  2 things can be bubbles while being massively different in the forces at play.

    • Dremor@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      It always does. I remember buying my DDR4 RAM 200€, and two months later the same kit was 550€. Some month later it was back at 220€.

    • Buddahriffic@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      I don’t think the bubble bursting will slow AI that much, it’ll just be a round of hot potatoe over, the losers will lose their money and others will come in hoping to be profitable since they can skip a bunch of R&D costs.

      AI is overhyped, but just like the internet after the dotcom bubble burst, it’s not going anywhere.

      Plus I suspect that this time will be a dollar collapse rather than stock market collapse, which would mean prices would go up even more.

  • MalReynolds@piefed.social
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    1 month ago

    What are the odds SAltman and the circular investment crew are pivoting to a pump and dump scheme on server hardware (as well as just GPGPUs) after finally admitting to themselves LLMs have hit a wall not even trillions of dollars will fix (architecture failure, no AGI for you, no getting away from those pesky workers like promised). If everything pans out nicely the world will end up with a bunch of new chip fabs (a real bottleneck) and nothing to use them for, cheap computers for all. Probably won’t, instead we’ll get a geopolitical shitshow as China (and hopefully Europe) will have functional, actually producing valuable stuff, economies. What happens to the US is left as an exercise for the reader.

  • utopiah@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Genuine question here, for a “normal” computer user, say somebody who :

    • browses the Web
    • listens to music, play videos, etc
    • sometimes plays video games, even 2025 AAAs and already has a GPU relatively recent and midrange, say something from e.g. 2020
    • even codes something of a normal size, let’s say up to Firefox size (which is huge)

    … which task does require more than say 32Go?

    • Devjavu@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      1 month ago

      If by normal you average, they don’t even really need 16gb.
      Creative work can gobble up ram, heavy ass multitasking does as well.
      So it’s more in the digitally productive professional or hobbyist cases where you need such amounts as a person.

      For development high amounts of rams can be useful for all sorts of stuff, it’s not just compiling, but also testing, though 32 is often enough.

    • MangoPenguin@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      1 month ago

      For normal use like that 16GB is generally just fine. Some games can use enough that you’ll need to close Firefox and other RAM hungry programs though.

      As far as needing more than that, people who do heavy design work or edit videos and that kind of thing generally do. For example 32GB running Fusion in Davinci Resolve can be a bit limiting sometimes with higher resolution or 10 bit footage.

    • Dremor@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      For a normal user, 16G is still enough.

      But for a power user like me, a Dev, with multiple IDE open, multiple browsers, a database manager with a dockerized DB, I’m basically at 96-98% RAM all the time.

      But even then, if you use a local AI, prepare to loose multiple Gigs to it.
      I already used more than 30 Gigs on one LLM (dolphin-mixtral:8x7B for the curious), when I tried testing it, and a more reasonable Mistral:7B still took me like 4Gigs just to run.

  • Zer0_F0x@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    I bought 16gb of ddr4 for 110eu back in 2018. Welcome back to the DDR wars, with NAND soon to follow.

  • CovfefeKills@lemmy.world
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    22 days ago

    Wow I just checked the laptop kit I bought a month ago it is 50% more E: it’s fucking over 100% more now wow it was a 64gb sodimm kit I got for 280AUD and now it is 700AUD fucking hell

  • Bongles@lemmy.zip
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    1 month ago

    This seems like an appropriate place for me to bitch:

    2 months ago I bought a new pre-built pc. It should’ve had 64gb of ram but had 32gb. They said the sticks they used were out of stock so they gave me a credit for $100 USD. I spent the 100 on 32gb more of what I thought was the exact same ram. I fucked up and bought a slightly higher speed so they wouldn’t work together after I tried for an afternoon. I also checked the correct listing i should’ve bought but it was more expensive, at about $125.

    I gave up and decided I’d just buy the faster ram again when it came back, rather than return it and get the correct one. It went out of stock in the time it took me to get my order so I figured I’d just wait.

    2 MONTHS later, it never came back in stock but an almost identical pair, with slightly different timing, is in stock right now at $216. If i had any idea this was coming in just 2 months, I could’ve just bought 64gb at once and started fresh, or corrected my mistake by returning what I bought.

    So i guess I’ll continue waiting, but hey at least notepad has copilot in it.

    • Bongles@lemmy.zip
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      10 days ago

      is in stock right now at $216

      Just throwing this out to the void, it’s now over $400.